Tuesday, February 10, 2015

Investing: Amulet & Why You Might Be Doing It Wrong

After a second place finish at Pro Tour Fate Reforged and a Grand Prix Top 8 just days before, Modern's Amulet of Vigor seems to be making a massive climb in popularity and interest from every angle of the Magic community, including the finance community. And whether the deck is here to stay, or destined to fall out of favour relatively soon, we have the potential, at the moment, to make a good bit of money whether this remains a pillar of the format or a fad.

The deck is extremely hard to play and involves many complex decisions that many players believe cannot be done by the average casual or competitive player. There's very little tournament results at the moment outside of its two Top 8 finishes at some of the largest events this year, which leads some to believe that it was simply a deck chosen for the specific events in an attempt to surprise. I personally am on the fence about that speculation.

But, here are some of my personal thoughts about the deck and some areas where you might not have thought about yet.

Amulet of Vigor - The deck's namesake, Amulet has jumped to a new 52 week high of $7.97 and some believe that it may continue to rise to another Modern rare that is just out of the reach of new players. "120% gains over night can only be the work of the Pro Tour," I said to myself Sunday morning. I had some meeting to attend and couldn't watch the end of tournament, but I already knew that it didn't matter who won at that point, because Amulet would be the real winner from this weekend. While the card may be a good investment, I wouldn't recommend valuing them very highly as I fear that it may be an overnight sensation that goes no where after. Try buying for less than $6.00 and try your best to sell playlets for no less than $28.00 by this weekend and you should be in the clear.

Primeval Titan - Here's one of the all-stars of the deck as well. The 6/6 land fetching not-so-jolly green giant may be one of the better investments from this deck because of it's potential in this very deck. However, I personally think that this card may be a good one to pass on because I doubt that it will ever be used in Modern outside of this very deck and doubt even more that we will ever see it in Commander again as a fallback means of liquidating.

Karoo Lands (Green) - Here's another idea that could be much less risky however. Invest in the mana base. While the original Ravnica block lands are common, foils might be the best way to go in this situation in order to make sure of a Commander-based fallback plan. There's a lot of potential for foils of these cards to increase in demand over the course of this Amulet fad, but if it doesn't work out like you'd hoped, then you can still try to sell to players in need of Karoo Lands for Commander. And, likewise, if you have some non-foils laying around as well, now would be the best time to try and sell obviously.

Overall, I'm still not so sure that Amulet decks are here to stay, but I definitely believe that now is the time to get in and out as quick as possible in case this whole thing has blown over by the next Modern event. Because if it has a poor showing, I think we can see Amulet and Titan fall back to their pre-Pro Tour prices and those Karoo lands you have will just start collecting dust again.


I'm anxious to hear your opinions on this. Is Amulet here to stay? What are you adding to your portfolio?

Thanks for the support and happy hunting.
 - Jay

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